This week Chuck Todd on Meet the Press featured 0ptimus analysis on its weekly political news show.
Read below for full report.
Archive: Polling
From 4.11.16 – 4.14.16 an IVR based poll was conducted in New York of likely Republican presidential primary voters. The poll was has an N = 14,201(!), weighted, stratified listed sample at the statewide level and each individual congressional district. Yes, each congressional district. Delegate math junkies here is your fix.
There isn’t a way to sugar coat it: things look good for Trump in New York. He leads in all 27 of New York’s congressional districts, and it just gets better for him from there.
One of the biggest uncertainties surrounding Trump’s candidacy is what will happen if and when he makes it to the general election. Will Republicans outside of his notoriously loyal followers support him? Will nonpartisans flock to him in the way that he claims? Spoiler: the numbers aren’t promising (for him at least).
From 3.22.16 – 3.24.16 an IVR based poll was conducted in Wisconsin of likely Republican presidential primary voters. The poll was has an N = 6,182(!), weighted, stratified listed sample at the statewide level and each individual congressional district. Yes, each congressional district. Delegate math junkies here is your fix.
From 3.22.16 – 3.24.16 an IVR based poll was conducted in New York of likely Republican presidential primary voters. The poll was has an N = 14,232(!), weighted, stratified listed sample at the statewide level and each individual congressional district. Yes, each congressional district. Delegate math junkies here is your fix.
The math says Trump can’t get the votes of women in his own party; he will need to consider rethinking his strategy before he even looks at his odds of capturing Democratic and nonpartisan voters.
Who are Trump’s people? While bricks may be the building blocks to Trump’s skyscrapers, we’re going to use statistics to see what demographics are the building blocks of someone who likes Donald Trump.