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Archive: Polling

One of the biggest uncertainties surrounding Trump’s candidacy is what will happen if and when he makes it to the general election. Will Republicans outside of his notoriously loyal followers support him? Will nonpartisans flock to him in the way that he claims? Spoiler: the numbers aren’t promising (for him at least).

From 3.22.16 – 3.24.16 an IVR based poll was conducted in Wisconsin of likely Republican presidential primary voters. The poll was has an N = 6,182(!), weighted, stratified listed sample at the statewide level and each individual congressional district.  Yes, each congressional district.  Delegate math junkies here is your fix. 

From 3.22.16 – 3.24.16 an IVR based poll was conducted in New York of likely Republican presidential primary voters.  The poll was has an N = 14,232(!), weighted, stratified listed sample at the statewide level and each individual congressional district.  Yes, each congressional district.  Delegate math junkies here is your fix.